Discuss how this information might be used for planning purposes
Concerned about recent weather-related disasters, fires, and other calamities at universities around the country, university administrators at Tech have initiated several planning projects to determine how effectively local emergency facilities can handle such situations. One of these projects has focused on the transport of disaster victims from campus to the five major hospitals in the area: Montgomery
Regional, Raeford Memorial, County General, Lewis Galt, and HGA Healthcare. The project team would like to determine how many victims each hospital might expect in a disaster and how long it would take to transport victims to the hospitals. However, one of the problems the project team faces is the lack of data on disasters, since they occur so infrequently.
The project team has looked at disasters at other schools and has estimated that the minimum number of victims that would qualify an event as a disaster for the purpose of initiating a disaster plan is 10. The team has further estimated that the largest number of victims in any disaster would be 200, and based on limited data from other schools, they believe the most likely number of disaster victims is approximately 50. Because of the lack of data, it is assumed that these parameters best define a triangular distribution. The emergency facilities and capabilities at the five area hospitals vary. It has been estimated that in the event of a disaster situation, the victims should be dispersed to the hospitals on a percentage basis based on the hospitals’ relative emergency capabilities, as follows: 25% should be sent to Montgomery Regional, 30% to Raeford Memorial, 15% to County General, 10% to Lewis Galt, and 20% to HGA Healthcare.
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